The Change Gauge: Bailouts for Auto Companies

jbydlak's picture

changegaugelogoLast week, President-elect Obama held a press conference, flanked by members of his economic advisory team, to discuss the federal government’s response to recent economic weakening.

The item that appeared highest on the new administraton’s agenda was the proposed bailout package for Detroit’s “Big 3” automakers.

As this Bloomberg article explains,

President-elect Barack Obama is pushing Congress this year to approve as much as $50 billion to save cash-starved U.S. automakers and appoint a czar or board to oversee the companies…

The president-elect also wants the Federal Reserve to extend emergency loans to General Motors, Ford Motor Co. and Chrysler LLC, according to Obama aides who spoke on condition of anonymity.

What is ironic about Obama’s push is that he is essentially calling for the same actions as those Congress took a few months ago (not to menton, 30 years ago). As Richard Ebeling notes, an auto industry bailout is hardly change from the status quo:

In September, Congress approved a $25 billion subsidy to the major automakers under the guise of financing improved fuel efficiency technologies. The Energy Department soon is to be disbursing these monies.

While The Change Gauge doesn’t rule out the possibility that the Obama administration is seeking to nationalize the Big 3 in order to turn them into a “sustainable and green state-directed enterprise,” it’s important to pause and consider the economics of the situation.

The reason that giving subsidies or loans to the Big 3 (or to Wall Street, or to farmers, etc.) is unlikly to have any long-lasting effect is because doing so does not change the fundamental problem that the automakers face. Detroit’s manufacturers largely are producing inferior cars at prices that consumers are unwilling to pay. If a restaurant down the street did that, it would quickly go out of business, so why should Ford or AIG be any different?

Adding to the irony of Obama proposing a Big 3 bailout is that this policy appears to be supported by the Bush administration — the same people who Obama derided on the campaign trail [often accurately] as being responsible for our current economic hardship. According to the Washington Post:

The Bush administration is in negotiations to broaden its $700 billion financial rescue plan to include U.S. auto companies, potentially opening the door to an array of industries to seek federal aid.

Detroit’s Big Three are eligible for aid under a broad interpretation of the law that authorized the $700 billion financial rescue, Treasury Department officials said yesterday. But they declined to discuss the details of any assistance.

In short, Obama has proposed a policy that Congress already has tried and that President Bush is likely to support. And let’s not forget that a bailout is supported by the group that is not only responsible for strong-arming the Big 3 into above-market wages, but also endorsed Obama for the presidency — the UAW. Public choice theory wins again, apparently.

For these reasons, The Change Gauge finds it disheartening that President-elect Obama is pushing a failed policy that seems likely to do more harm than good. A bailout of the auto industry… that’s not change, that’s more of the same.

For some great additional reading on bailouts and the auto industry, The Change Gauge strongly recommends the following:

  1. The Atlantic’s Megan McArdle, in “Save the Rust Belt!” asks why we aren’t saving other long-obsolete industries as well [hint: it has something to do with ‘opportunity cost’]. This is a must-read if ever there were one on the topic.
  2. Eric-Charles Banfield’s classic Freeman piece, “Business-Government Collusion,” clarifies the important, but often misunderstood, distinction between being pro-business and pro-free-market. More specifically, Banfield explains how most corporations are opposed to free markets, because a lack of entry and exit restrictions impedes their ability to acquire even greater profits.

  3. This Business Week article, “The 65 mpg Ford the U.S. Can’t Have,” is a great piece that illustrates how flawed government policies have handcuffed Ford and made us all worse off.  The article details how diesel taxes have made it no longer cost-effective for Ford to sell its diesel Fiesta in the U.S. Ironically, Ford’s Fiesta is selling like crazy in other countries, and in particular, France, where over 60% of cars run on diesel, compared to less than 3% in the U.S. If the Obama administration wants to help Ford, wouldn’t it make more sense to repeal our diesel taxes? Probably, but that would reduce government revenue.
  4. Finally, to understand why the Big 3 are struggling, check out this chart by Carpe Diem’s Mark Perry, which shows the massive difference in wages between unionized Big 3 workers and those of their ununionized Japanese competitors. Perry also makes some nice observations here, here, here, here, and here.

Further reading-

Congressman Ron Paul on Bailing Out the Auto Industry

Lessons from the Auto Bailout Controversy

Bailing Out the Auto Industry: A Perspective

The Craziness of the Auto Bailout

This is interesting, but it can hardly be a surprise, as we all know that there is very little difference between the two major parties. They are all corporatists and socialists. Some of them pretend to care about human rights and some of them pretend to care about limited government. The end result is always the same.

C3's picture

It looks like the folks in DC are hell-bent to give the stimulus package another try seeing as the first one didn’t have any real effect.

This time it’s the car industry.

While the sanity of blowing cash around and running the national debt up even further is questionable; it seems inevitable - so this time let’s target unemployment, create AMERICAN jobs and pump up the economy all at one time.

Consider the following:

Manufacturing costs of motor vehicles are 65% labor (i.e.: W-2 income), that’s not all direct but due to suppliers. GM alone has over 1300 suppliers. (That’s a lot of jobs!)

1 in 10 Americans makes all or part of their income due to the automobile industry.

Money turns over 5 times in a year.
Thus a vehicle with a manufacturing cost of 20K produces 13,500 in W-2 income which in turn becomes a total of 65K in 12 months due to the 5 turnovers.
(This isn’t magic, it’s simply how the economy works.)

Our domestic car makers are saddled with legacy costs, most of which will reduce dramatically in 2010 due to contract changes. They need to survive to get there.

Our own over-zealous government with a virtual alphabet soup of regulatory agencies has been no help either.
Foreign competitors have worked off-shore collectively to meet various US gov’t. imposed emission and safety standards, thus dramatically reducing those R&D costs. American car companies are prohibited from that by our FTC.

Make no mistake; it’s no surprise that once again government has been a major part of the problem.

Here’s the solution.

Instead of either shipping cases of cash off to car makers; or sending us all another check:

Send out a voucher for say $1,000 good on a motor vehicle for the percentage of the vehicle that’s domestic. (Civic = 70% Ford Explorer=80%)

Let those not interested in a new car sell or give away their vouchers (Ebay would be loaded with them in no time flat) and those that are so inclined can use as many as they can get their hands on up to the full MSRP of the vehicle.

This would bail out the car industry without giving them a dime directly
Further it would reduce the overall age of the nation’s cars which would in turn;
increase overall fuel economy & decrease pollution.

Strengthen the dollar!

Since vehicles with a higher domestic content would be moving better this would reduce our imports, strengthening our dollar which would in turn further reduce what we pay for anything imported …like gas!

Jobs

Instead of simply bailing out a few big companies, this would cause such a run that it would create employment throughout the industry affecting over 1300 suppliers and their workers.
That would give the economy good swift kick right where it needs one!

Pays for itself!

Since money turns over 5 times, and the vouchers are only good for the domestic content of the vehicle, every dime would be spent in the United States creating taxable income.
What is the income tax on 65,000 anyway?
(Remember? 20K manufacturing cost = $13,500 W-2 income x 5 = $65,000)

Another Stimulus Package?

I’m sure you’ll agree that this makes more sense than simply sending out checks; many of which will be used to buy new flat screen TV’s usually made in Malaysia or some such place.

ACR's picture

Here’s a great article relating to this- http://edgehopper.com/what-toyota-knows-that-gm-doesnt/

Shana Kluck's picture

Simply awesome article. Great analysis. Thank you.

“In this free nation we do not choose to be ruled, we elect to be governed.”
— Barry Goldwater

lbrady's picture

Very good editorial on the subject: Why Bankruptcy Is the Best Option for GM

BAMAToNE's picture

I am new to your page, it is great to see serious discussions about the bailout. I just put a short thing on my blog about the bailout. http://zreflections.blogspot.com/2008/12/us-bailouts-and-bonuses-please-…

Do you mind if I post this thread on my blog?

A cute story about what if Steve Jobs was involved.
http://www.pbs.org/cringely/pulpit/2008/pulpit_20081207_005508.html

Zack's picture

Post new comment

The content of this field is kept private and will not be shown publicly.
  • Allowed HTML tags: <h2> <h3> <h4> <h5> <u> <p> <br> <a> <em> <strong> <cite> <code> <pre> <ul> <ol> <li> <dl> <dt> <dd> <span> <img> <object> <embed> <param> <blockquote> <div> <table> <tr> <td> <tbody> <thead>
  • Web page addresses and e-mail addresses turn into links automatically.
  • SmartyPants will translate ASCII punctuation characters into “smart” typographic punctuation HTML entities.

More information about formatting options

Latest Videos


The views and opinions expressed by individual authors are not necessarily those of other authors, advertisers, developers or editors at United Liberty.